Market Overview

Week Ahead: Equity Direction Uncertain, Bonds Offer No Haven, Volatility To Endure

Week Ahead: Equity Direction Uncertain, Bonds Offer No Haven, Volatility To Endure

Stocks rebounded last week, but 2022 first half was still worst since 1970 Trader sentiment will split between short-term hopefuls…
Technical Bounce Or New Bullish Breakout?

Technical Bounce Or New Bullish Breakout?

I woke up to headlines on my Twitter feed Friday morning: “POWELL: US HAS A VERY STRONG, WELL RECOVERED ECONOMY.” Jerome…
Trading Desk Notes: The Blunt Instrument Of Higher Interest Rates

Trading Desk Notes: The Blunt Instrument Of Higher Interest Rates

Inflation fears morph into recession fears; stocks and bonds rally, commodities and the USD weaken The Fed hiked s/t interest…
The Fed Just Cannot Take A Rest In Raising Interest Rates

The Fed Just Cannot Take A Rest In Raising Interest Rates

With Fed Chairman Jerome Powell capping off his two-day Congressional hearing on June 23, he reiterated his pledge to combat…
The Fed’s Tightening Is Creating Illiquidity Pockets And Greater Fragility

The Fed’s Tightening Is Creating Illiquidity Pockets And Greater Fragility

Back in summer 2019, I wrote an article highlighting one of my ways to measure market liquidity and what it…
Fixed Income At A Glance

Fixed Income At A Glance

Key points from June’s credit strategy meeting Tighter financial conditions led us to lower our short-term for the US, UK…
Recession Risk Rises But U.S. Still Expected To Grow In Q2

Recession Risk Rises But U.S. Still Expected To Grow In Q2

Headwinds for US growth continue to strengthen, but next month’s second-quarter report of GDP is still on track to post…
Dollar Stalls, Stocks Given A Lifeline As Rate Hike Bets Scaled Back

Dollar Stalls, Stocks Given A Lifeline As Rate Hike Bets Scaled Back

European and US PMI data underscore recession risks, dampen price outlook Falling commodity prices add to reduced inflation expectations Investors…
‘HODL’ Finds Its Inevitable Flaw

‘HODL’ Finds Its Inevitable Flaw

an original misspelling taken on as a badge of courage by cryptocurrency investors, spread to ‘ during the run up…
S&P 500 May Fall Another 15%

S&P 500 May Fall Another 15%

While stocks are down sharply on the year and cheaper in price, markets are still not reasonable from a valuation…
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