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- Last week, Bitcoin held onto support at $26,500
- Meanwhile, Ethereum broke its downtrend, surging above $1,900
- Both cryptos recently bounced off the support area, now eyeing critical resistance levels
In May, Bitcoin lost over 10% of its value before stabilizing a little. During this time, trading volumes remained low as sellers’ strength started to weaken.
The sideways movement was largely a result of the uncertainty in global markets. However, as market sentiment improved and the U.S. debt ceiling crisis risks abated, Bitcoin rallied.
The perceived decrease in the risk of a U.S. default led to a 5% move as the crypto moved toward an important resistance level.
From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin initially held onto Fib 0.382 ($26,500) during the last uptrend and then retraced to Fib 0.236 ($28,000) during the subsequent bounce.
$28,000 a Critical Level for Bitcoin
Bitcoin Daily Chart
Bitcoin is currently hovering near critical resistance at $28,000, and if it manages to close above this level, the next target could be $29,200 by the end of the day.
After crossing these two milestones, the focus will shift back to the resistance range of $29,600 to $30,500 from April.
If the positive sentiment persists, Bitcoin could potentially reach the range of $31,500 to $33,000.
Moreover, reclaiming the $30,000 level would indicate a re-establishment of the uptrend, potentially leading to significant rallies not only for Bitcoin but also for other cryptocurrencies.
On the other hand, if Bitcoin remains below $30,000, it could be a sign of a potential trend reversal. A move into this region would be considered a test for a return to the rising channel.
If buyers fail to push the price higher, it is likely that sellers will gain strength, and the support zone around $26,500 could weaken further.
In the event of a trend reversal, the target levels to watch would be $25,300, $24,000, and $22,350.
Looking at the moving averages, the exponential moving average (EMA) values, which turned downward in early May, are showing signs of turning up again with support from the 3-month average.
Therefore, it is crucial for Bitcoin to close above $28,000, as it would lead to the 8-day EMA crossing above the 21-day EMA, indicating a bullish signal.
The Stochastic RSI is also generating a bullish signal after displaying an indecisive pattern last week, thanks to yesterday’s bounce.
As a result, expect Bitcoin price to fluctuate near $27,300 this week, with a focus on a breakout above $28,000.
This week, the announcement of the nonfarm payrolls data on Friday is an important economic event to monitor.
It is likely that this data will cause volatility in cryptos to spike in the latter half of the week.
Ethereum Eyes $2000
ETH/USD Daily Chart
After finding support at around $1,800, Ethereum rallied, reaching $1,900. This broke the short-term downtrend that began in April from the $2,100 region.
ETH bulls will face difficulty in surpassing the initial resistance level of $1,925 (Fib0.382) unless the price remains above $1,875.
However, if the crypto breaks out, it could potentially drive toward $2,000. The next target for Ethereum could then be in the range of $2,060 to $2,130.
If Ethereum fails to surpass the $1,925 level this week, selling pressure could increase.
On the flip side, if buyers are unable to defend the $1,875 support, declines below $1,800 become more likely.
Consequently, traders should keep an eye on the $1,925 to $1,875 range today.
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